fluffernutter
09-03-2008, 06:57 PM
The surge has stopped a lot of the violence, true. But the terrorists are like cockroaches and have the ability to disappear for months (and years) at a time. Look at what is happening now in Afghanistan. The fundies over there know that we have a short attention span. As a nation we almost have ADD. Extremists play that to their advantage: the events of a couple of months really means nothing in an area with conflicts and loyalties dating back centuries.
The situation over there cannot be neatly described as "no news = good news." The real danger area right now is Pakistan. Bush played that card badly because Musharraf (an evil tyrant but our friend so that makes it okay) is out on his ass and we have no sway with anyone else there. I still honestly believe the situation is as dangerous as when we invaded Iraq and the long term winner of this mess could well be Iran.
How's this for a doomsday scenario?: Iran destabilizes Pakistan and inserts its own homeboys there; then destabilizes Saudi Arabia (the Holy Grail) and gets its own people there; Iraq falls in behind Al-Sadr - and oops: a giant Islamic fundamentalist superpower stretching from India to the Red Sea, armed with nuclear weapons. This has been Bin Laden's dream all along, by the way. Up to now Bush has done little to stop this. He has helped, not hindered, Bin Laden to this goal. The cherry on top would be when Bin Laden gets brought in like a hero in a motorcade like the freaking Ayatollah Khomeini after Iran fell. Then I guess we can officially say "blew that one, eh?"
Don't get me wrong: I'm not wishing for it. But let's keep our eyes open here.
The situation over there cannot be neatly described as "no news = good news." The real danger area right now is Pakistan. Bush played that card badly because Musharraf (an evil tyrant but our friend so that makes it okay) is out on his ass and we have no sway with anyone else there. I still honestly believe the situation is as dangerous as when we invaded Iraq and the long term winner of this mess could well be Iran.
How's this for a doomsday scenario?: Iran destabilizes Pakistan and inserts its own homeboys there; then destabilizes Saudi Arabia (the Holy Grail) and gets its own people there; Iraq falls in behind Al-Sadr - and oops: a giant Islamic fundamentalist superpower stretching from India to the Red Sea, armed with nuclear weapons. This has been Bin Laden's dream all along, by the way. Up to now Bush has done little to stop this. He has helped, not hindered, Bin Laden to this goal. The cherry on top would be when Bin Laden gets brought in like a hero in a motorcade like the freaking Ayatollah Khomeini after Iran fell. Then I guess we can officially say "blew that one, eh?"
Don't get me wrong: I'm not wishing for it. But let's keep our eyes open here.